Morgan Stanley predicts continued USD weakness amid slowing growth and upcoming rate-cuts. US employment data alongside plenty of EU data this week will keep currency markets alive
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The USD tumbled, oil prices firmed, equity markets and US yields are mixed as Trump delayed EU tariffs. The USD dropped to its lowest level in almost two years after Trump's U-turn on EU tariffs increased market uncertainty, highlighting the President's volatile policymaking.
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Trump’s comments hit the USD in illiquid trading, EUR/USD and GBP/USD trading at multi-year highs on the USD weakness. Plenty of data this week, with the ‘war of words being fought between the President and the US federal Reserve which is straining checks and balances in the US political system.
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USD volatility brings instability, as headlines jolt FX markets
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2025 looks like a year to be prepared - Trump and his team, alongside global tensions, trade wars and changing direction of global politics will all feed into a lively year ahead.
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Rate cuts are widely expected across most developed economies - the varying pace of these cuts will affect currency moves globally. The world is also trying to prepare for the inauguration of President Trump on 20th Jan25 which will have impacts across the global economy and the structure of political governance in the USA.
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The currency war at its peak
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ECB meeting to bring volatility to the Euro at tomorrow’s meeting
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The end of the Q2 of 2022 has brought us a grim outlook for the medium-term global growth as the USD strengthens while GBP and EUR weakens
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"A euro that is too weak would go against our price stability objective." - Francois Villeroy (ECB Governing Council member)
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The market expected 490,000 jobs to be added, but the actual number was 431,000.
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